Developing a 5 Year Strategy for the UK Salon Industry

Developing a 5 Year Strategy for the UK Salon Industry.

The UK salon industry is poised for significant changes over the next five years. From evolving employment laws to the economic realities of rising wages, salon owners and managers must proactively adapt to ensure long-term sustainability. This article explores the key areas salon businesses must consider when planning their strategies through 2030.

Changes in Employment Law

The UK Government is continuously revising employment laws, with a focus on improving worker rights and addressing employment misclassifications. By 2030, the following changes are likely to take effect:

  • Flexible Working as Default: Currently employers must accommodate flexible working requests from day one of employment, creating challenges in scheduling and productivity management. This is likely to evolve as a new generation of employees join the workforce.
  • Enhanced Family Leave Policies: Increased protections for maternity, paternity, and carers’ leave may require salons to plan for extended staff absences and budget for temporary cover.
  • Right to Disconnect: Discussions around protecting workers' off-duty time may influence salon operating hours and the availability of staff for administrative tasks outside their shift hours.

Strategic Tip: Implement workforce management software, like Loop HR, to automate tasks, streamline scheduling, manage flexible working and track leave. Proactively invest in cross-training staff to cover key roles during absences.

Changes in Employment Law

National Minimum Wage (NMW) Increases.

The National Minimum Wage is projected to rise significantly by 2030, with the Low Pay Commission already signalling increases to align with living wage goals.

  • Impact on Profit Margins: Labour costs, typically 50–60% of a salon's expenditure, could rise. Salons operating on thin margins may struggle without pricing strategy adjustments.
  • Customer Pricing Sensitivity: Balancing service price increases while retaining customers will become a critical challenge.
  • Target setting: Using standard multiple of pay calculations will no longer be achievable for many salons. Setting goals based on the price of services is one practical option. This alongside a shift in language to a Minimum Target Threshold and Optimum Target to define the sales income range per salary level.

Strategic Tip: Develop a pricing structure now that accounts for incremental wage increases. Increase prices in April to align with NMW. Review service offerings (removing less profitable services) and introduce tiered pricing to cater to diverse client segments and staff skill and experience levels.

Minimum Wage

Regulations on Apprenticeships.

The UK Government’s ongoing review of apprenticeships in the hair and beauty sector aims to address concerns about quality and wage fairness.

  • Possible Changes:
    • Enhanced funding for apprenticeships to improve quality.
    • Stricter regulations on apprentice wages and working conditions.
    • Mandatory qualification timelines to ensure apprentices gain skills within defined periods.

Strategic Tip: Build partnerships with local training providers to ensure compliance and maintain a pipeline of skilled talent. Invest in structured training programs that balance learning with operational needs. Use training management software such as Loop HR to track skill development, financial investment and career progression.

For information on apprenticeship government funding speak with experts in this field such as Sarah Abel @sarahabelfundinggodmother

Apprentice jigsaw puzzle

Regulation on Self-Employment

With the rising increase of "gig economy" models, regulatory scrutiny is intensifying around self-employed workers in salons.

  • Expected Changes:
    • A clearer distinction between self-employed and employed roles, potentially leading to reclassification of some self-employed workers.
    • Increased accountability for ensuring tax and NI compliance among self-employed contractors.

Strategic Tip: Conduct a workforce audit to ensure compliance with new regulations. Where reclassification is necessary, either prepare to integrate previously self-employed workers into payroll systems – or modify your self-employed worker policies to align with local regulations.

Rules and Regulations

Tax Implications: VAT and Beyond

Taxation remains a critical consideration for salon businesses, especially as the industry navigates rising costs and potential regulatory changes. A long standing topic of debate is the potential reduction of VAT for the hair and beauty sector, but currently there are no signs of any changes in policy.

VAT Rate Reduction

Despite significant backing from industry groups like the National Hair & Beauty Federation (NHBF) and the Salon Employers Association, which have called for a reduction in VAT rates from 20% to around 12%, the UK Government has consistently rejected these proposals. The Treasury has cited the complexities of unpicking the VAT system for specific sectors as the primary barrier to change.

Additionally, recent policy announcements, such as the increase in the VAT registration threshold from £85,000 to £90,000, suggest the Government’s focus remains on providing broader fiscal relief rather than sector-specific adjustments. As a result, salons should operate on the assumption that the standard 20% VAT rate will remain in place for the foreseeable future.

VAT Registration Threshold

Smaller salons operating below the VAT registration threshold will benefit from the recent increase to £90,000, effective April 2024. However, businesses nearing this threshold must plan for the financial and administrative impact of crossing it.

What impact will VAT have on my business? A business must increase revenue by £22,500 to breakeven without raising prices. Or add 20% to their prices, meaning the gross income would increase from £90,000 to £108,000 to cover the VAT.

Flat rate of VAT 13%.

The VAT Flat Rate Scheme offers salons a simplified method of VAT accounting by applying a fixed rate of 13% to their VAT-inclusive turnover. While it reduces administrative tasks and can provide financial benefits, salons should carefully evaluate their individual circumstances, considering factors like input VAT on purchases and overall turnover, to determine if the scheme is advantageous for their business.

Payroll Taxes and NI

The expected increases in National Minimum Wage will drive up payroll taxes and National Insurance contributions, further tightening profit margins for salons with employed staff. For an employee, there would be no change to their NIC’s.

Employer NICs: for an employee earning £24,000 per annum there will be an additional cost of about £784.20 per employee.

Tax on Apprenticeship Grants

Enhanced funding for apprenticeships may come with additional reporting and tax obligations, especially if Government schemes impose specific usage guidelines.

Strategic Tip: Work closely with a financial advisor to optimise your salon’s tax strategy. For smaller businesses, consider whether staying below the VAT threshold is viable or if pricing adjustments are necessary to absorb the costs. Larger salons should explore efficiencies in operations to maintain profitability under current tax obligations. By planning for the likelihood that VAT will remain at 20%, salons can focus on other cost-saving measures to remain competitive.
Finally, pricing and target setting are the two critical elements to get right to ensure profits. Use software such as Loop HR to set precise targets based on prices.

To Sum Up

In Summary

Summary of Probabilities

ChangeProbabilityImpact
Flexible working as defaultHighScheduling complexity
Enhanced family leave policiesHighIncreased absence cover costs
Significant NMW increases HighRising labour costs
Stricter apprenticeship regulationMediumCompliance and wage adjustments
Self-employment reclassificationHighPayroll cost increases
VAT threshold adjustmentsMediumRevenue structure adjustments

Preparing for the Future

The salon industry must approach the next five years with resilience and adaptability. Success will hinge on:

  • Proactive Planning: Stay informed about upcoming legislation and industry trends.
  • Investment in Technology: Automate processes to manage complexity, increase accountability across the team, reduce manual operations and save valuable time.
  • Training and Development: Future-proof your workforce by upskilling employees and maintaining compliance.
  • Reward the right behaviours: Use well considered pay structures that incentivise the right behaviours and reward elements that are good for business. Offer longer term rewards alongside short term sales commissions.

The salons that thrive will be those that see these changes not as challenges but as opportunities to innovate and improve their operations. With careful planning and strategic foresight, your salon can emerge stronger and more competitive by 2030.

To discover how Loop HR can help you streamline your salon management processes, set the right targets and improve employee engagement, jump on a call with Ian, founder of Loop HR. Use this link to book your personal call.